PREDICTING THE SOVIET STRATEGIC THREAT

Approved for Release: 2014/07/29 006183129Improving forecasts-SteREfi/PREDICTING THE SOVIET STRATEGIC THREAT*(b)(3)(c)_(b)(3)(n)-The most common measures of the Soviet intercontinental attack force involve the size ofthe force. Since the early 1970s, however, the aggregate size of the force has been governed bythe SALT agreements, so predictions of it usually have been accurate. In this arms controlenvironment, issues of force modernization have become as important as issues of force size.