1993-10-01 - National Intelligence Estimate 93-22: Prospects For Bosnia (Update Memorandum) 01-Oct-93

D "Director of Central - Intelligence (b)(3) Update Memorandum: NIE 93-22 From the Chairman, National Intelligence Council p2 ~ ~Prospects for Bosnia APPROVED FOR RELEASEE DATE: 01-31-2011 ShvKey Points A Bosnian confederation will not long survive any agreement reached in Geneva. Serbia and Croatia will begin to absorb their client ministates, leaving a Muslim rump either dependent on Western support or-in the unlikely event Bosnian-Croatian talks succeed- associated with Zagreb j - A three-way...